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EU out vote puts UK commitment to Paris climate agreement in doubt

Guardian climate change - 2 hours 29 min ago

Leave victory risks delaying EU ratification of the Paris deal, leaving the door open for Obama’s successor to unpick the pact

The UK government won high praise six months ago for taking a leading role in the successful Paris climate change agreement, the first legally binding commitment on curbing carbon emissions by all 195 United Nations countries.

With the vote to leave the EU, the UK’s future participation in that landmark accord is now in doubt.

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Mr Stability: Turnbull's message rocked by real world ructions and party pressures | Lenore Taylor

Guardian climate change - Fri, 2016/06/24 - 10:45am

The uneasy truce between the PM and his party’s right on climate change and marriage equality is under threat, while the Brexit vote challenges his stability v chaos message

It’s an ephemeral thing to build a campaign on – the assurance of stability and the accusation that your rival will cause inevitable chaos – hard to prove and easily rocked by unpredictable circumstance.

And Malcolm Turnbull’s central campaign pitch was buffeted in every direction on Friday.

Related: Malcolm Turnbull confirms Coalition MPs get free vote on marriage equality

Related: Same-sex marriage plebiscite will license hate speech, says Penny Wong

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UK's out vote is a 'red alert' for the environment

Guardian climate change - Fri, 2016/06/24 - 10:39am

From the ‘red-tape’ slashing desires of the Brexiters to the judgment of green professionals, all indications are for weaker environmental protections

Despite being an issue that knows no borders, affects all and is of vital interest to future generations, the environment was low on the agenda ahead of the UK’s historic vote to leave the European Union.

The short answer to what happens next with pollution, wildlife, farming, green energy, climate change and more is we don’t know – we are in uncharted territory. But all the indications – from the “red-tape” slashing desires of the Brexiters to the judgment of environmental professionals – are that the protections for our environment will get weaker.

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Pianist Ludovico Einaudi’s haunting iceberg performance to draw attention to Arctic plight – video

Guardian climate change - Fri, 2016/06/24 - 8:00am

The Italian pianist Ludovico Einaudi, renowned for his career composing scores for television and movies, gives a haunting performance among the icebergs of the Arctic in conjunction with Greenpeace in an attempt to draw attention to the plight of the region. The concert was planned to tie in with a meeting of the Ospar Commission, which will decide on a proposal to safeguard 10% of the Arctic Ocean this week

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97% global warming consensus paper surpasses half a million downloads | Dana Nuccitelli

Guardian climate change - Thu, 2016/06/23 - 11:00am

Cook et al. (2013) has remained the most-read paper in Environmental Research Letters for most of the past 3 years

In 2013, a team of citizen science volunteers who collaborate on the climate myth debunking website published a paper finding a 97% expert consensus on human-caused global warming in peer-reviewed research. Over the past 3 years, that paper has been downloaded more than 500,000 times. For perspective, that’s 4 times more than the second-most downloaded paper in the Institute of Physics journals (which includes Environmental Research Letters, where the 97% consensus paper was published).

The statistic reveals a remarkable level of interest for a peer-reviewed scientific paper. Over a three-year period, the study has been downloaded an average of 440 times per day, and the pace has hardly slowed. Over the past year, the download rate has remained high, at 415 per day.

1) Depending on exactly how you measure the expert consensus, it’s somewhere between 90% and 100% that agree humans are responsible for climate change, with most of our studies finding 97% consensus among publishing climate scientists.

2) The greater the climate expertise among those surveyed, the higher the consensus on human-caused global warming.

Voters believe that there is no consensus about global warming within the scientific community. Should the public come to believe that the scientific issues are settled, their views about global warming will change accordingly.

Therefore, you need to continue to make the lack of scientific certainty a primary issue in the debate.

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